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Feeling
good? May not be for long. For, the Planning Commission
may boast of creating 84 lakh jobs annually, but India's
growing population is by and large jobless, according to
experts. This has become the biggest challenge, as the economic
recovery hasn't seen much job creation. An estimated 35
million Indians are unemployed and another 20 million young
people will enter the market in the next four years.
While
corporate India is bullish on the prospects of high economic
growth, no new jobs are being created on the manufacturing
shopfloor, according to an analysis done by the Federation
of Indian Chamber of Commerce and Industry.
India's
employment statistics present a disturbing picture. The
10th Planning Commission document has already warned that
at present the country's infrastructure won't be able to
provide jobs for new entrants or clear the backlog. Unemployment
may go up from 9.21 per cent in 2002 to 9.79 per cent in
2007.
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"It
is a time-bomb waiting to explode. We need to have
a clear roadmap to where jobs are going to come from,"
says London-based Dr. Madhav Mehra, president of the
World Council for Corporate Governance.
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Disturbing
figures |
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35
million people are unemployed
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20
million will enter the labour force in 4 years
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Unemployement
may go up to 9.79 per cent in 2007
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"There
is no doubt that India has had a dramatic success in the
last two years, but actually a delusion." Dr Mehra
adds, that India needs to be cautions as the future is bleak
with jobless growth.
The
biggest worry is 54 per cent of India's population is under
the age of 25 and a majority of them have no inclination
to work in the agriculture sector. According to the Planning
Commission, there are 212 million people (aged 14-24), but
only 107 million have jobs, Moreover, nine percent of the
country's workforce is in the organized sector.
There
is hot hiring only in IT and to an extent in housing. Only
an estimated 170,000 are employed in India's call centers
in the last three years and Nasscom expects a million people
will be employed in call centers and back office jobs in
2008.
For
the rest," It is a very disturbing scenario. There
will be unrest unless we wake up now," says Amit Mitra,
secretary general, FICCI. " We need flexible labor
laws, access of finance to small enterprises, removal of
inspector-raj, There is need to connect vocational education
centers like ITIs to industry needs." Mitra maintained
that legislative changes in labor policy could create over
4 million jobs in manufacturing alone. Today, companies
deploy capital-intensive technology instead of employing
human labor. FICCI president Y K Modi said US retail major
Walmart wanted to source textiles from India, but only from
a couple of people, " We are losing out in that deal
because no-one here wants to take a risk by employing 5,000
people permanently," said Modi.
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