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Cash-rich
companies wary of risk
US companies
are sitting on large stockpiles of cash they have accumulated from rebounding
profits rather than spending it, reflecting a cautious business outlook
and reluctance to take risk, credit analysts have warned.
The amount of liquid assets held by non-financial US corporations has
almost doubled over the past seven years to $l,165bn at the end of the
first quarter, according to Federal Reserve data.
The increase in assets
relative to debt is in sharp contrast to the late 1990s, when companies
issued large amounts of debt to fund capital investments.
"[Companies] are generally more cautious now, perhaps more cautious
than they need to be," said Kama-lesh Rao, economist at Moody's Investors
Service, adding that cash-to-debt ratios for non-financial companies are
at their highest levels in almost 35 years.
Corporate credit liabilities were $5,030bn in the first quarter, putting
the cash-to- debt ratio at 23 per cent.
Further evidence of cash accumulation is found in Fed data on non-financial
companies' "financing gap" - the difference between capital
spending and cashflow.
This figure was positive between 1998-2002 reflecting more spending than
cashflow - but turned negative in 2003 and the first quarter of 2004.
"Firms are generating more cash internally than they are using up
in capital spending," economists at Nomura Securities
said in a recent report.. Economists said the reluctance by companies
to spend despite rapid increases in cashflow shows that companies are
unwilling to get caught in the trap they fell into in the late 1990s when
a surge in capital spending resulted in production capacity outstripping
demand.
"The over-investment boom of the late 1990s is, in a sense, coming
back home to roost," said Robert Gay,v global head of fixed-income
• research at Commerzbank. Telecommunications and high-technology
companies, among the biggest spenders during the internet bubble, are
now among the most thrifty. Almost one-third of the 100 companies ranked
by Moody's as top cash holders are tech or telecoms groups. Some companies
have good reason for hoarding cash. Carmakers and airlines are among the
culprits, but they have huge pension shortfalls to address. Meanwhile,
analysts say drugs companies want to keep cash on hand for potentially
expensive lawsuits.
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